Wins and losses say little about a tip in the short run; luck decides too much. A better question is whether the price you took was better than the price the market settled on.
Closing line value. The closing line is the price just before kick-off, usually the market's best-informed price. A simple comparison:
CLV = your odds ÷ closing odds − 1
You took 2.20 and the match closed at 2.05: CLV = 2.20 ÷ 2.05 − 1 = +7.3%. The market later priced that selection lower than the price you got, whatever the result.
Which closing price? It matters. A sharp bookmaker's closing price is a better reference than a soft one, and comparing against the no-vig closing price (margin removed) is stricter than the raw price. Any CLV figure should say which one it uses.
Watch out: price movement before kick-off is not yet CLV; it can still turn. And positive CLV is a strong indication of good pricing, not proof of profit. Over hundreds of bets, steady positive CLV is one of the best signs that a method finds real value.
On Pattern90. Each tip records the price when it was issued (iss) and shows the move since (mov). The recorded price and edge stay fixed, and a tip is never re-issued later at a better price. We use CLV to assess the quality of our prices over time.
Check it yourself: CLV calculator · Match Analysis
Value is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+ · Bet responsibly.